Uneducated Investor — Contrarian Stock Market Insights on Uneducated Investor

Uneducated Investor Q1 2026 Portfolio Update

Sun, 12 Apr 2026 12:00:00 +0800

How I’ve performed YTD and over the last year, every position I hold, the philosophy behind the portfolio, and what I’m watching next.

Two Bulls in a China Shop

Sun, 22 Mar 2026 13:09:46 +0800

When two agents of chaos go to war, the market doesn’t discriminate. That’s a problem — and an opportunity.

The Mutant Advantage

Thu, 05 Feb 2026 13:05:50 +0800

Professor Xavier had Cerebro to amplify his powers and detect what others couldn’t see. What if you had a Cerebro for markets—systematically identifying second-order opportunities hidden in plain sight while Wall Street chases headlines?

UnHappy Days

Sun, 01 Feb 2026 15:49:50 +0800

When El Salvador bought gold at all-time highs, the shark had been jumped. Friday’s historic crash in precious metals—silver down 31%, gold down $855—wasn’t just a correction. It was a forced deleveraging event that echoed the 1980 Silver Thursday collapse.

Europe's Getting Defensive

Fri, 23 Jan 2026 12:00:00 +0000

Trump’s Greenland demands just triggered Europe’s biggest defense awakening in decades. Here’s how to position for the multi-billion euro spending surge that’s coming.

A 500 Year Old Answer to 'I Don't Know'

Thu, 15 Jan 2026 22:27:04 +0800

When you can’t predict the future, build a portfolio that doesn’t need you to.

The World's Most Expensive Parking Lot

Mon, 05 Jan 2026 22:27:04 +0800

Why Venezuela’s massive oil reserves are actually a $100 billion capital trap wrapped in geopolitical chaos—and why the viral ‘$18 trillion windfall’ narrative completely misunderstands oil economics.

The Question Finally Gets Asked

Thu, 30 Oct 2025 03:03:43 +0000

Two months ago, I wrote about how AI infrastructure spending was following the exact playbook of the fiber optic bubble—revolutionary technology paired with catastrophic overbuilding. Well, this week delivered something even more telling.

Stocks Always Win (Don't They?)

Fri, 10 Oct 2025 10:55:44 +0000

Ask someone to prove that stocks beat gold, and they’ll inevitably pull up a long-term chart showing the S&P 500 crushing gold. Case closed, right?

The Legacy Trap

Sat, 23 Aug 2025 04:02:20 +0000

What’s really behind Powell’s rate cut hesitation? The answer isn’t found in employment statistics or inflation readings.

The Ghost of Bubbles Past

Thu, 21 Aug 2025 08:22:46 +0000

A tale of two bubbles, separated by 25 years and united by the same spectacular blindness to efficiency.

The Hidden Asian Dragon

Sat, 09 Aug 2025 05:39:56 +0000

The combination of reasonable valuations relative to growth prospects, ongoing recovery in Asian economies, and potential currency tailwinds creates multiple drivers for Asian outperformance.

Soaring Bitcoin, Hidden Leverage

Tue, 05 Aug 2025 06:38:59 +0000

As Bitcoin carves new all-time highs, the market is celebrating corporate treasuries embracing crypto. Are we witnessing the democratization of finance—or the final stage of a market cycle built on flywheel leverage?

The Magnificent Few

Thu, 03 Jul 2025 04:01:34 +0000

The whole S&P 500 market rally is being carried by a handful of mega-cap names while 90-95% of stocks are just sitting there. When only 5% of stocks drive index performance while economic fundamentals show early warning signs, it’s worth considering hedges.

The Great Capital Migration

Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:19:35 +0000

Wall Street’s most reliable pattern: How following the money and its impact on demand beats forecasting demand in a world obsessed with narratives.

The Americans Can't Go Back

Sat, 26 Apr 2025 15:24:43 +0000

The American economy isn’t collapsing — it’s evolving. Higher debt, persistent inflation, and structural shifts like tariffs and remote work are creating a new system. But financial markets are still priced for the old one — and that’s where the real risk lies.

If You Trade Bitcoin...

Sat, 19 Apr 2025 04:36:05 +0000

I’ve been spending more time trading Bitcoin — and obsessing over charts that probably don’t belong in this newsletter. So I’ve spun it off.

Pipe Dreams

Thu, 17 Apr 2025 16:15:17 +0000

Energy investing can feel like a binary world — you’re either chasing commodity prices or buying stocks that live and die by them. But what if there’s another path that gives you the exposure without the whiplash?

The Dollar Trap

Sun, 06 Apr 2025 08:23:02 +0000

The United States made an unsustainable deal with the world: you get the dollars, we get the cheap stuff. It worked—until it didn’t.

Does DeepSeek mean NVIDIA is in DeepS**t?

Tue, 28 Jan 2025 10:54:06 +0000

As an avid AI enthusiast who has extensively used both DeepSeek and ChatGPT, I wanted to share my thoughts with my audience. Let’s take a deep dive into the DeepSeek panic, NVIDIA’s valuation, and the broader implications for AI investors.

All Roads Are Stimulative

Sun, 19 Jan 2025 09:18:44 +0000

For over two years, the Fed has raised rates at the fastest pace in decades, yet inflation remains above its 2% target. Why? A big part of the answer lies in a phenomenon called fiscal dominance.

Oil Sands & the Loonie: A Double Negative Opportunity?

Tue, 14 Jan 2025 05:19:07 +0000

A weak Canadian dollar (the “loonie”) and a struggling oil sands industry present a compelling case for contrarian investors. But is this a golden opportunity or a value trap? Let’s dive in.

Uncertainty & The Icarus Print

Sun, 12 Jan 2025 10:46:41 +0000

NVIDIA’s stock soared to new heights last week, only to reverse sharply. It’s left me cautious if not bearish on the stock.

Coffee Crisis: Brewing Trouble

Wed, 27 Nov 2024 03:37:15 +0000

Coffee, that ubiquitous morning companion for billions around the world, is experiencing a perfect storm of supply constraints and demand shifts. Here’s how I am playing it.

We Live for Volatility

Sat, 10 Aug 2024 06:45:02 +0000

History has shown time and again that those who can keep their heads when others are losing theirs often emerge stronger on the other side of market turmoil.

Coal Stocks Surge After Grosvenor Mine Fire

Wed, 03 Jul 2024 05:36:14 +0000

How the recent fire at Australia’s Grosvenor Coal Mine has impacted coal stock prices, creating new investment opportunities.

Uneducated Investor's Contrarian ETF Portfolio

Wed, 19 Jun 2024 15:42:04 +0000

I’ve put together a model portfolio allocation using exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to make the contrarian ideas I share on Uneducated Investor easy to access and implement.

Harvesting Alpha in a Changing Climate

Tue, 18 Jun 2024 02:54:50 +0000

The last century of food production has taken place in a period of relative climate stability, but that era appears to be ending. For investors willing to dive into the details of how crops respond to changing weather conditions, there is real alpha to be harvested.

Uranium Sentiment Tested as Spot Price Retreats

Mon, 10 Jun 2024 13:06:02 +0000

In investing, one of the hardest things to do is stay the course when the market turns against you. At times like these, it’s crucial to revisit the original investment thesis and reaffirm why you entered the trade in the first place.

The Game-Changing Legislation

Wed, 01 May 2024 12:13:53 +0000

The passage of the Russian Uranium Import Ban legislation by the US Senate marks the beginning of a new era for the uranium market. This groundbreaking development has the potential to reshape the global uranium landscape.

Tin: Time to Shine

Sat, 27 Apr 2024 05:39:15 +0000

Tin’s indispensable role in the technologies of tomorrow renders it a metal that investors can ill-afford to ignore.

Offshore Drilling 101

Thu, 11 Apr 2024 03:55:33 +0000

In this article, I explain crucial background and recent changes in oilfield economics to make the bullish case for a potential offshore drilling renaissance.

Copper's Electrifying Ascent

Fri, 05 Apr 2024 04:02:29 +0000

Copper prices are soaring. But meeting the world’s insatiable appetite for this critical metal as the energy transition unfolds will be no easy feat.

Offshore Drilling: Shifting Sands

Thu, 04 Apr 2024 02:36:50 +0000

Investors looking for the “next Uranium” trade should consider keeping a close eye on this dynamic corner of the energy world.

The Scion Capital Playbook

Fri, 29 Mar 2024 10:00:22 +0000

Investing like Michael Burry isn’t about blindly copying his every move. Rather, it’s about embracing the foundational principles that guided his success.

This Browser Extension Transformed My Twitter Experience

Fri, 22 Mar 2024 13:42:27 +0000

If you find yourself struggling with Twitter’s busy interface and information overload, I highly recommend giving this browser extension a try.

The Fed's Highwire Act

Tue, 19 Mar 2024 02:15:01 +0000

Balancing persistent inflation, maintaining its credibility, and managing market expectations.

Uncovering the Uranium Market's Hidden Gems

Sat, 16 Mar 2024 10:25:38 +0000

In a recent interview with RBC Capital Markets, Grant Isaac, CFO and Executive VP at Cameco, revealed several hidden gems often overlooked by mainstream media.

Uranium Market Update - March 2024

Fri, 15 Mar 2024 06:28:24 +0000

The past few weeks have been eventful for the Uranium industry, with a confluence of developments underscoring the robust fundamentals and increasing geopolitical complexities that shape this market. As China embarks on an ambitious nuclear journey and the U.S. contemplates crucial legislation, the stage is set for a sustained bull market, albeit with potential volatility on the horizon. Let’s delve into the key events.

Uranium: Navigating the Volatility

Thu, 14 Mar 2024 07:15:04 +0000

While the recent pullback may have some Uranium investors feeling jittery, I believe it’s essential to keep the bigger picture in mind.

Coal: Rising from the Ashes

Mon, 12 Feb 2024 03:38:03 +0000

Contrarians made generational wealth in tobacco stocks through two decades of soaring dividends and buybacks. Today, coal mirrors tobacco’s bottom—could it stage a similar comeback?

Capturing Value: Cameco's Disciplined Approach

Fri, 09 Feb 2024 03:29:02 +0000

Understanding Cameco’s disciplined strategy is key for investors evaluating this pivotal player in the nuclear energy supply chain.

Lessons Learned the Hard Way

Thu, 08 Feb 2024 03:25:20 +0000

While I have realized some gains, there were also painful losses that likely could have been avoided if I approached choices more thoughtfully.

The EV Revolution's Hidden Catch

Sun, 04 Feb 2024 04:51:00 +0000

How Running From Gasoline Is Actually Driving Up Oil Use

Electric vehicles (EVs) are often promoted as a way to reduce our reliance on oil and gasoline-powered transport. However, an analysis of the market data seems to indicate that the frenzied global push into EVs is having the opposite effect — it is actually increasing oil consumption, not reducing it as commonly believed.

Are You Not Entertained?

Fri, 02 Feb 2024 02:19:20 +0000

Kazatomprom warned that without resolution of the sulfuric acid shortages and mine development lags this year, “a swift return to the 100% production volume level…may be at risk.”

China's Global Interplay

Wed, 31 Jan 2024 03:45:53 +0000

China’s economic struggles have led its stock markets to diverge from the seemingly ever-rising US markets. This could have major reverberations across industries and global asset prices if the divergence closes.

New Supply Isn't Riding to the Rescue

Sun, 14 Jan 2024 07:42:04 +0000

The uranium market is incredibly tight right now. There is very limited supply available to purchase in the near-term. This scarcity is evident in the high spot price, which is currently around $105/lb. This high price accurately reflects the market fundamentals, not speculation.

Uranium: Fast and Furious

Sat, 13 Jan 2024 13:12:41 +0000

The uranium bull market continues to rage based on recent developments. While more flashy predictions about triple-digit prices grab headlines, insights from industry experts help reaffirm the backbone supporting a prolonged bull run. An update on key metrics driving this niche sector reinforces the positive investment case rather than mere euphoria.

Crypto Slumbers, But Doesn't Sleep

Fri, 01 Dec 2023 09:16:43 +0000

Even in the harshest of winters, you’ll always find some signs of life. Yes, you may have to look for it harder than usual, but it’s there. Developers quietly build. Corporations trial web3 partnerships. Venture funding continues. Trading volumes inch upwards though prices stay low. Like nature’s seasons, crypto moves in cycles. The patient ones who weathered dormancy now turn optimistic. Is crypto spring around the corner?

Connecting Crypto's Walled Gardens

Wed, 15 Nov 2023 08:51:05 +0000

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges (CEXs) like Coinbase and Binance have long dominated digital asset trading. However, a paradigm shift is underway with the emergence of decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that enable peer-to-peer crypto trading without intermediaries. Even more revolutionary are cross-chain DEXs such as THORChain, which facilitate frictionless cryptocurrency swaps across different blockchains.

The Mood of the Uranium Market

Tue, 07 Nov 2023 06:58:20 +0000

Dustin Garrow, Managing Principal of Nuclear Fuel Associates, recently returned from the NEI International Uranium Fuel Seminar in Charlotte, North Carolina. According to him, the buzz in the hallways signals a dramatic shift in the uranium market.

No Graphite For You!

Fri, 27 Oct 2023 01:50:19 +0000

What China’s New Export Restrictions Mean for the EV Industry

News broke this week that China is introducing export permits on graphite starting December 1st. This is a huge development that will have major implications across the EV supply chain.

The Buck Stops Where?

Tue, 24 Oct 2023 14:40:13 +0000

Rising Debt and the Search for Solutions

During a recent appearance on Fox Business, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink commented on the rally in Bitcoin’s price caused by the report that their Bitcoin ETF had been approved by the SEC. This report turned out of course to be an online rumour. The price of Bitcoin subsequently retreated.

Where Are We With Uranium and Gold?

Thu, 19 Oct 2023 01:00:53 +0000

Uranium and gold have been top of mind for commodity investors lately. Here’s where I think we may be headed.

Turmoil in Niger: What Ongoing Instability Means for Uranium Markets

Sat, 07 Oct 2023 15:47:38 +0000

With over 5% of global uranium production, the African nation of Niger has grown into a pivotal player in the global nuclear fuel supply chain. But recent turmoil in Niger threatens to impact worldwide uranium availability.

Brace Yourself – The Uranium Bull Market is Just Revving Up

Sat, 07 Oct 2023 09:59:33 +0000

With uranium prices up 40% in the past year, many are wondering if the bull run is nearing its end. As an investor that is heavily focused on this space, I’m here to tell you this rally is far from over. In fact, the fundamentals suggest the nuclear fuel bull still has ample room to run. Let me explain why.

More money. More problems.

Sat, 07 Oct 2023 08:52:18 +0000

When India and Russia announced their rupee-ruble deal to trade oil, bypassing the US dollar, it generated quite a buzz. But for Russia, this deal has not turned out to be as beneficial as they had hoped. Russia is now saddled with a growing pile of rupees it can’t easily spend abroad. Supporters argue there are ways Russia can invest the rupees in India or use them for bilateral trade. But in my view, the challenges outweigh the opportunities.

Coal, China, and Other Commodity Curveballs

Fri, 06 Oct 2023 06:55:25 +0000

I used to think coal was toast. But hearing how much metallurgical coal equities surged during the pandemic taught me a valuable lesson. Never write off an industry until you examine the supply and demand nuances.

Buckle Up - We're Headed for a Wild Ride

Thu, 05 Oct 2023 05:48:16 +0000

I’m convinced we’re on the precipice of a highly volatile market phase.

The Fiscal and Monetary Reckoning

In my view, the reckless fiscal and monetary policies enacted since COVID have set the stage for a market meltdown. Trillions upon trillions of spending and debt accumulation cannot continue unchecked.

Kazatomprom’s Ramp, Russian Risks, and this Perfect Pullback

Wed, 04 Oct 2023 06:46:01 +0000

Another rollercoaster week in the uranium market - let me walk you through the latest on Kazakhstan supply, Russia sanctions, and why I’m pumped about this healthy sector pullback.

What India's Coal Addiction Means for the Energy Transition

Tue, 03 Oct 2023 06:46:48 +0000

Introduction

I couldn’t help but chuckle when I read recently that India plans to expand coal power by 56 gigawatts through 2030. It just goes to show that this whole “coal is dead” narrative is fanciful dreaming by Western environmentalists. The reality is that major developing economies like India still rely on good ol’ coal to power their growth.

Navigating Geopolitical Tensions and Energy Markets

Mon, 02 Oct 2023 14:36:41 +0000

As an uneducated investor, I’m constantly assessing global economic trends and geopolitical developments to understand their investment implications. Here are some of my recent thoughts as I ponder the mounting uncertainties facing markets.

About Me

Mon, 02 Oct 2023 07:14:51 +0000

Welcome to Uneducated Investor, a site dedicated to sharing offbeat perspectives on investing and the financial markets.

I write about commodities, energy, crypto, and global macro — usually from an angle the mainstream isn’t talking about. Occasionally I share investing lessons I have learned along the way.

US Dollar Running Strong

Wed, 27 Sep 2023 12:55:00 +0000

Here are some of the things I have been thinking about this week:

The US Dollar Strength

The US dollar has seen an impressive run recently, with 11 consecutive weekly gains. Measured moves based on past performance indicate the US Dollar Index (DXY) could rise to the 107.50-108 level. This strength in the dollar has put pressure on assets like stocks, gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies.

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